You aren’t really facing up to the data that you’re quoting. I’m not even sure why you’re quoting it, actually.

First, overall rates of violence have gone way down (see Figure 2). If you find yourself in 1995, you should be way more afraid than if you are around in 2015. I don’t know why you don’t point this out. It’s incredibly important if we’re going to base our attitudes on facts instead of “experiences” (or hype). Society is becoming (much!) safer! This is wonderful!

Second, it is absolutely true that statistically it’s more likely that a random black person will pose a danger than a random white person. You kind of hide this fact, waffle it away; if we’re going to base our attitudes on facts, we need to be straight with this. Presumably, given that races are not evenly distributed, whites spend a disproportionately large fraction of time around whites and blacks around blacks; but even if we thought everyone spent equal time around everyone, a white person should be about 50% more worried around a black person than a white person (14% of people committing 20% of crimes against whites). A black person should, under the same assumptions, be about _six times_ more worried around a black person than a white person (14% of people committing 85% of crimes against blacks). This is tragic, and worth some serious attention. Alternatively, if crimes are committed in a racially blind way, then you have 14% of people committing 34% of crimes, a 2.5x increase in risk. It’s even worse if you look at serious violent crime (Table 3). The personal risk — absent other relevant information like crime rates in a particular area — is still quite low. But if you’re trying to convince people to change their views, not just preaching to the choir (who don’t need more facts anyway), you need to acknowledge this and address it head on. (Knowing the likely causes — slavery, systemic racism, especially historically, poverty, etc. — does not automatically enable us to make substantive improvements.)

There are urgent changes that we need to make in our society in order to make it more equitable and enable people to better reach their potential. It seems like you’re hiding tragic data because it looks bad. When there is tragedy, let’s bring it to the forefront and work on solutions.